With the key primaries over except for New Hampshire, the dance card for the Senate is set. And so are the odds. Historically, the first midterm election is bad for the president’s party, with the question being not whether there will be losses, but how many.
Polymarket puts the odds of a Democratic sweep (Senate and House) at 49 cents, Kalshi at 46 (Note: All odds are as of the writing of this column). Even so, individually, Democrats are favored in four of the five swing states and Texas as roughly a tossup. Both sites have Michigan and Alaska at 61 cents, and Ohio at 55 cents, favoring… Read More in Real Clear Politics